Media reports have declared the field of psychology, if not all of science, to be in a state of crisis. The Search for Long Covid Treatments Takes a Promising Turn. 171 on Forbes list. Its a stupid little badge, Nosek says, but it works. The IRS strictly regulates foundations and nonprofits engaged in political work, such as lobbying and voter registration. In 2019, William Schambra, co-editor of The Giving Review and a senior fellow at the Hudson Institute, pointed out that the field of 501(c)(3)s, 501(c)(4)s), and foundationsincluding their tax benefits as well as respective legal limitationsexists because they are ways weve chosen, as a democracy, to encourage and channel charitable giving and political activism. We circumvent them at our peril. In 2012, after growing his firm, Centaurus Advisors, from an initial $8 million to $5 billion in less than a decade, he announced that he was walking away to pursue other interests. 1.800.427.5747 More than $10 million more in Arnold Foundation grants have come since. For one thing, the problems plaguing scientific research are now increasingly well known. Theres little evidence to prove how necessary or helpful many of the accepted norms in psychedelic-assisted therapy areand some could even harm patients. Weve always defined success as sustainable change through policy. LAURA AND JOHN ARNOLD FOUNDATION | Foundation Directory | Candid Not long after the podcast went online, he received a five-line email from Arnold. Just weeks before the federal guidelines were due for an update, Teicholzs blistering report appeared in the prominent medical journal The BMJ, charging that the governments panel of scientists had failed to consider evidence that would have done away with long-held worries about eating saturated fat. The biggest green hydrogen hub in the US could be | Canary Media Arnold Ventures will likely fund the same formula of political and charitable causes that the Arnold Foundation supported. Hide Background LAURA AND JOHN ARNOLD FOUNDATION Family foundations The Supreme Court has come under intense scrutiny lately over a series of reports suggesting potential conflicts of interest. Laura and John Arnold didnt start the movement to reform science, but they have done more than anyone else to amplify its capabilitiestypically by approaching researchers out of the blue and asking whether they might be able to do more with more money. Closing John Arnold's tweet, "A new study shows " are "the four most dangerous words," is a perfect crystallization of the philanthropist's skeptical attitude toward a lot of scientific research. His mother later would work as an accountant at Centaurus. In 2018, he jokingly complained that hes been called the next Koch brother by the far left press and the next George Soros by the far right.. Fortune magazine has called him one of the least-known billionaires in the country. Reflects change since 5 pm ET of prior trading day. And so, at age 38, Arnold walked away from it all. He started working at Enron four days later. His estimated net worth is $3.3 billion as of writing. Michael Maggi is a former Enron trader who then spent time at Centaurus Capital, the hedge fund founded by noted Houston philanthropist John Arnold, before founding Goldfinch Capital. Form Now He's Declared War on Bad Science. Arnold is 5'10", trim, and blandly handsome, his unusually youthful appearance now somewhat concealed by a salt-and-pepper beard. Arnold estimates that he made $50,000 before he finished high school. info@naturalgasintel.com The National Institutes of Health is moving forward with new requirements for data sharing; starting as early as this year, all NIH-funded training programs must include plans for teaching researchers the principles of reproducibility. 19-2616 (3d Cir. I would buy up all the premium hockey cards and send them to Canada or upstate New York. He called the company Blue Chip Cards. His father, who died when Arnold was 18, was a lawyer. For a look . [8][12] His former colleagues dubbed him "king of natural gas. By the following year, Nosek was cofounding an institution called the Center for Open Science with an initial $5.25 million grant from the Arnold Foundation. Returning Laura and John Arnold, co-founders and co-chairs of Arnold Ventures. Updated: 12/31/2014 01:43 PM EST. [16], During the collapse of Amaranth Advisors, Centaurus is widely credited as being one of the major players on the other side of their position, returning as much as 150% in 2005. ), Were not looking to create an organization of safe success, Laura Arnold says. [15], He then founded Centaurus, a hedge fund, with his previous year's bonus in 2002. John Arnold. John Arnold is Founder and Co-Chair of Arnold Ventures. The Billionaire Behind the Fight for Lower Drug Prices She is a graduate of Harvard College, Yale Law School, and has a Master of Philosophy degree in European Studies from the University of Cambridge. Unlike Tom Steyer, a billionaire who earned his wealth investing in oil and natural gas and now hypocritically blames those commodities for devastating the planet, John Arnold says little about climate change. At least, not exactly. But about an hour in, Massachusetts representative Jim McGovern leaned into his microphone. The Therapy Part of Psychedelic Therapy Is a Mess. In the sciences, one is mostly incentivized to publish journal articles, and especially to publish the sorts of attention-grabbing and controversial articles that get widely cited and picked up by the popular media. Directors E.J. Mr. Arnold serves on the boards of Breakthrough Energy Ventures, an investor-led venture capital firm dedicated to funding transformational technologies that will reduce global greenhouse gas emissions; Civica, Inc., a nonprofit generic pharmaceutical company; and The City Fund, a nonprofit dedicated to supporting new governance models in K-12 education. After that Arnold started his own hedge fund, Centaurus Energy, where he became, in the words of one hedge fund competitor, the best trader that ever lived, full stop. Then Arnold had abruptly retired at the ripe age of 38 to focus full time on philanthropy. Bothersome bureaucracy notwithstanding, tax exemption and tax deduction are tangible benefits that acknowledge that compact. The Arnolds identify as Democrats and were major financial supporters of President Barack Obama. En 2002, us su bonificacin para financiar Centaurus . [43], John received an $8 million dollar bonus from Enron just before the company filed for bankruptcy. However, after 17 years as an energy trader, I feel that its time to pursue other interests, Arnold wrote to investors in a letter obtained by NGI. founded Houston-based hedge fund Centaurus Advisors but retired in 2012 . About - Centaurus Financial, Inc.. Usually the division of labor in most of our work is that I talk, Laura Arnold says in a phone interview. They internalize the risk of mistaking correlation for causationnot because theyre smarter than scientists but because they have money riding on the outcome. Meet Laura Arnold, the billionaire philanthropist taking on the parole John Arnold - Centaurus Advisors - Insider Monkey $24.5M Texas mansion hits the market | wfaa.com As a general rule, the incentives related to quantitative research are very different in the social sciences and in financial practice, says James Owen Weatherall, author of The Physics of Wall Street. While this private company, Arnold Ventures, is structurally indistinguishable from any other for-profit corporation, its purpose is strictly philanthropicbut it comes with key advantages. I think I was just born with a natural gift for seeing numbers in a special way, he says. Centaurus Capital | Bernard Opetit | Hedge Fund Notes John Arnold on Oil and Gas Startups - Digital Wildcatters But Shankman recognized that he and Arnold were different in one key respect: Arnold had a greater appetite for risk, a quality that seemed at odds with his quiet demeanor. Is Centaurus's John Arnold Losing His Touch? - Institutional Investor The picture Taubes painted wasnt of a flawed study here or there but of a fundamentally broken scientific culture. [9], After college, he began his career at Enron as an oil analyst, but soon was promoted to assistant trader. Like Tom Steyer, George Soros, and a number of other mega-donors on the Left, John Arnold earned his vast wealth as a hedge fund investor. Former Not surprisingly, researchers who dont see a crisis in science have started to fight back. But he should loom larger on the conservative radar considering that the two nonprofits associated with this billionaire couple poured out nearly $1 billion in grants between 2008 and 2018. In everything they do, they want to be evidence-driven, says Stuart Buck, vice president of research integrity at the Arnold Foundation. Arnold says he wasnt sure if he could match the success hed enjoyed as a futures trader at Enron. It wasnt long before Arnold had the answer to his doubts. Republished [44][45], Arnold has been accused of pushing for pension reform in response to a lawsuit the California state pension system, CalPERS, filed against Enron. . The Center for Open Science's replication efforts have inspired economists and even tropical ecologists to plan reproducibility projects of their own. He was widely quoted for his viewpoints on the industry by a government commission. As a pipeline company, Enron had a direct view onto many of the factors that influence gas prices. A guy such . Plus, systems of prestige and advancement die hard. [3][8] His father was a lawyer and died when Arnold was 18. 2023 Forbes Media LLC. The philanthropys core mission is to invest in evidence-based solutions that maximize opportunity and minimize injustice. That way, it would be harder for them to go back and cherry-pick their sexiest data after the factand easier for other researchers to come in and replicate the experiment later. Arnold says that now, unless he trusts a researchers work, he no longer believes the findings of any scientific study until he or someone on the staff carefully vets the paper. Legendary Energy Trader John Arnold to Retire - CNBC At the time, his net worth was estimated to be around $3 billion. Form 990s and Section 501(c) of the U.S. Tax Code were created in 1954, followed by rules governing private foundations in 1969. Constitutionalists would add that the entire relationship is hedged in by the First Amendments guarantee of free speech, lest disclosure rules encompass an individuals right to support lawful causes of their choosing without facing public backlash for holding unpopular opinions. Theyve also lavishly supported the Reproducibility Project, a science reform group formed to combat the rise of politicized, ideologically driven junk science afflicting so much research, particularly in climate science. One of the counterparties Amaranth approached was Centaurus. A former executive at Salomon Brothers later told The New York Times that there were very few incidents in the history of Wall Street comparable to Arnolds success that year. Corp What does that say about American philanthropy? The Arnolds' impact investing includes CivicaRx, which plans to manufacture 14 generic drugs and sell them cheap. That same hunger would make large-scale philanthropy far more challenging than he had anticipated. These wealthy Houstonians were named to Forbes' list of the - KPRC And in 2015 the Arnold Foundation paid journalist Nina Teicholz to investigate the scientific review process that informs the US Dietary Guidelines. John E. Murray (1959-2018) wasnt famous like Ludwig von Mises, F.A. A year after that, at age 22, he was overseeing Enrons Texas natural gas trading desk, one of the companys core businesses. In finance, meanwhile, at least when one is trading with ones own money, there are strong incentives to work to that stronger standard. Arnold is still quiet. To be fair, the Arnolds are far from wild-eyed leftists. And its true that, when it comes to political leanings, they are somewhat hard to pin down. A new study shows are the four most dangerous words, Arnold wrote on Twitter. The Biggest Microbiome Study Sheds Light on Shared Health Risks, The Little Bang Helping Physicists Study the Infant Universe. [42], Arnolds foundation, Arnold Ventures, created a Public Safety Assessment which gave recently arrested individuals a score to determine their flight risk and potential bail. ioneer gains new substantial shareholder in Centaurus Capital According to Forbes, Arnold has a personal fortune of $3 billion as of March, putting him at No. Flagship He has also served as the Investment Manager for the Laura and John Arnold Foundation since 2011. His next act? At age 38, Texas billionaire John Arnold decided to step away from high finance. John Arnold: The most prolific philanthropist you may not have heard of. Laura and John Arnold | Arnold Ventures Arnold is careful not to lump all researchers together when he talks about the problems in science. Far from simple charity, thats a recipe for plutocracy. But he also stood out for his skepticism. FILE - In this Aug. 5, 2009, file photo, John Arnold, then head of the hedge fund Centaurus Advisors of Houston, testifies before the The Commodity Futures Trading Commission in Washington, D.C. He is universally described as quiet and introspective. Ludwig is a native of Orange County, California,. Wealth: $3.3 billion. In 2014 he partnered with the journal Psychological Science to offer colorful Open Data and Open Materials badges for papers that met specific criteria for sharing. Arnold, head of $3 billion Houston-based Centaurus Energy, has generated gains approaching 200% so far this year, according to a person familiar with the former Enron trader and his fund. Its probably too big a lift for us to expect were going to change researchers who have been around for decades, he says. Researchers say viruses can kill antibiotic-resistant microbes and help treat infections. Written. John Arnold shocked the hedge fund world in 2012 when, at just 38 years old, he announced he would no longer manage other people's money. The aim was to redo about 50 studies from three prominent psychology journals, to establish an estimate of how often modern psychology turns up false positive results. But as many Wall Street veterans can testify, betting against John Arnold is usually a bad idea. [3][4][5][6][7], In 2019, Arnold became the chairman of Houston's 2026 bid for the FIFA World Cup. World No. 4. And though the fund bounced back the next year, tighter regulations on trading and a far less volatile marketthanks to a growing supply of natural gas from shale rockmade it unlikely that Arnold would again see the astonishing returns of only a few years earlier. John DAgostino, former head of strategy of the New York Mercantile Exchange, says that in Arnolds heyday, people in the industry would discuss him in hushed and reverent tones. In 2006, Centaurus reportedly saw returns of over 300 percent; the next year Arnold became the youngest billionaire in the country. Laura and John Arnold: "Dark Money" Entrepreneurs The Center for Open Sciences next big undertaking is another reproducibility projectthis one for cancer studieswhich recently revealed its initial findings (two of five studies yielded the same results the second time around). Episode #386: John Arnold, Arnold Ventures - Why The Greatest Natural Centaurus Capital LP has committed around $500 million in equity for EOC Partners, according to the . Arnold was raised in Dallas, Texas, and he was the younger of two sons. [23] Other multi-million gifts followed to other education programs, for example to Washington, D.C. city schools for merit pay, to Teach for America, and to StudentsFirst. Insofar as the LLC form allows donors to treat the categories as just so many rooms for a tiresome accounting game of hide-and-seekthe view that Arnold seems to take herewe may come to regret the growing popularity of that form among those with the largest appetites for change. Updated March 10, 2017 5:18 pm ET. The Arnold Foundation has been the Medici of meta-research, Ioannidis says. Laura Arnold has served on the boards of the Innocence Project[29] and the REFORM alliance. Charles Butt, San Antonio $290 million. John Arnold, filntropo multimillonario, dirige una empresa que ofrece gratis programas informticos para la reforma de las fianzas. For two years he had sent out grant proposals for his software project. The problem even had a name: the file drawer effect. Arnold entered the investment industry out of college by working for Enron, the infamous natural gas conglomerate that collapsed in 2001 following revelations of its vast accounting fraud. Like a number of up-and-coming researchers in his generation, Nosek was troubled by mounting evidence that science itselfthrough its systems of publication, funding, and advancementhad become biased toward generating a certain kind of finding: novel, attention grabbing, but ultimately unreliable. To which the answer is clearly no, but theres a lot of bullshit masquerading as science. (Some of the background footage in the segment came from the Arnold Foundation.). In Wall Street circles Arnold, who is in his late 30s, has been known to some as the king of natural gas.. Luce's career in natural-gas storage includes leading roles with energy and utility company Sempra Energy and with NGS Energy, a developer backed by billionaire energy trader John Arnold's Centaurus Advisors hedge fund. Billionaire John Arnold backing energy-focused credit fund - sources The centers replication efforts, in turn, have inspired economists and even tropical ecologists to plan reproducibility projects of their own. The problem, they claim, isnt that scientists dont want to do the right thing. | 5. Who are the out-of-state billionaires backing ranked-choice voting in But now they were widening their scope. Having spent more than a decade picking apart nutrition science, Taubes soon found himself cofounding an organization with a substantial grant from the Arnold Foundation, to rebuild the study of obesity from the ground up. Philanthropist John Arnold is pictured in this photo provided by the Laura and John Arnold Foundation on July 10, 2018. . You dont shift a culture overnight, Nosek says. Enron billionaire frets about public pensions' solvency [37] He proposed that foundations and DAFs should spend at least 7% annually, which would result in billions of dollars more being given to charities,[30] and that DAFs should be legally held to an annual minimum distribution. And those are just a few of the people who are calling out iffy science with Arnold funding. Early the next morning, Mr. Arnold offered a bid after making the following observations: "I . [52], , "Centaurus scoops up National Coal shares", Institute for Clinical and Economic Review, "The Young Billionaire Behind the War on Bad Science", "John Arnold Is Said to Close Hedge Fund and Return Investor Money", "When a billionaire trader loses his edge - The Term Sheet: Fortune's deals blogTerm Sheet", "Houston billionaire trader John Arnold retiring at 38 - Houston Chronicle", "Legendary Energy Trader John Arnold to Retire", "Hedge Fund Billionaire John Arnold's Fund Was Up When He Announced He Was Getting Out", "Ex-Trader at Enron to Retire From Hedge Fund", New York Times: "CORPORATE CONDUCT: THE TRADER; Enron Trader Had a Year To Boast of, Even If" By DAVID BARBOZA, "A speculator who is in for the long haul", "Centaurus's John Arnold: The king of natural gas - Nov. 24, 2009", "Meet the Texas billionaire who backed Philly soda tax and now is funding attack ads in N.J. Senate race", "Smart trades that made this a good year for some", "Centaurus scoops up National Coal shares", "John D. Arnold's CFTC (U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission) speech", "Houston's World Cup bid adds a power player in John Arnold", "A Thirtysomething Billionaire Couple Take on Tough Issues Via Giving", "The City Fund has given out over $100 million to support charter and charter-like schools", How a billionaire couple greased the skids for Nancy Pelosis drug pricing bill, "Why this billion-dollar foundation is becoming a corporation", "Changemakers: The Leaders Reshaping Communities Around the World", "Two Texas Billionaires Think They Can Fix Philanthropy", "A Billionaire Pledges to Fight High Drug Prices, and the Industry Is Rattled", "Obscure Model Puts a Price on Good Healthand Drives Down Drug Costs", "How a Billionaire Couple Greased The Skids For Nancy Pelosi's Drug Pricing Bill", "Laura and John Arnold Foundation to Restructure as LLC", "Why one billionaire is calling out Silicon Valley's favorite philanthropic loophole", "Are Donor Advised Funds Good for Philanthropy? He also created Arnold Ventures, a philanthropic investment firm focused on health . In 2002, he founded Centaurus Advisors with $8 millionhis last Enron bonus, paid out just days before the company filed for bankruptcyin Houston, Texas, to invest in futures, options, and derivatives for coal, natural gas, and crude oil. Sam Apple (@samuelapple) teaches science writing at the University of Pennsylvania. Longevity evangelists are injecting people with experimental gene therapies. It became extraordinarily frustrating.. We are Centaurus. That focus led Rolling Stone to call Arnold a young right-wing kingmaker with clear designs on becoming the next generations Koch brothers. (In 2015, Bloomberg suggested that Arnold may have somehow managed to become less popular as a philanthropist than he was as a billionaire trader. In the War on Bacteria, Its Time to Call in the Phages. Bruce Kovner, Caxton Associates . Quin es John Arnold, el filntropo que regala programas informticos John Arnold - Forbes THE ARNOLDS had been dabbling in philanthropy for years, supporting a few handpicked programs in education, criminal justice reform, and other areas that were important to them. They are on record as agreeing with some of the critiques and focus on partnering with organizations to maximize their impact without undue influence. Were looking to create an organization of thoughtful failure and fantastic success., If John Arnold does have an identifiable ideology, it is that of a lifelong trader and quant: unsentimental, metrics-focused, interventionist. Subscribe now. Billionaire John Arnold pushes for charity reform. After making millions for Enron, launching his own hedge fund, and becoming a billionaire, John Arnold retired at 38. Trading up: Life lessons with philanthropist John Arnold LLCs dont have foundations 5 percent annual spend-out requirements or strict investment rules. In the name of social experimentation, in 2020 Arnold supported Oregon's referendum decriminalizing all drugs, which passed. [30] The new entity is known as Arnold Ventures LLC with the charter "to remove barriers between data and decisive action, working swiftly across the policy-change spectrum. W hen former Enron trader and billionaire hedge-fund manager John Arnold and his wife, Laura, announced plans to donate 5 percent of their net worth to charity every year, they may have. John Arnold is Founder and Co-Chair of Arnold Ventures. But powerful special interests are trying to question science., If John Arnold decided he wanted to beat hunger, I wouldnt want to bet on hunger.. Donald Trumps real net worth? The preceding news reportmay not be republished or redistributed, in whole or in part, in anyform, without prior written consent of Intelligence Press, Inc. 2023 Natural Gas Intelligence. It Depends On Who You Talk To", "How we Ranked Forbes 400 based on their giving", "Dog The Bounty Hunter Joins Lawsuit Against Chris Christie Over Bail Reform", "June Rodgers v. Christopher Christie, No. From the little I know about the science of nutrition, your study makes a lot of sense, Arnold wrote. Brian Nosek had pretty much given up on finding a funder. Compared with the IRS-mandated transparency of a private foundation, 501(c)(3) public charity, or 501(c)(4) social welfare organization, private companies are black holes for public disclosure. Is there something special about frauds in the securities biz that they should be penalized infinitely more harshly than other business frauds? he went on.
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